ElBaradei, Iran's bomb man
The more the layers are peeled back, the more we see the hand of Iran behind what is unfolding in the Middle East.
In stark, bitter contrast to Obama's indifference to the popular Iranian uprising, Obama has almost immediately engaged in events on the ground in Egypt, and it's not good. His silence about the brutal, murderous putdown of its people by the Iranian mullahcracy translated to his tacit support and spoke volumes. Obama became part of the problem, not part of the solution. He gave religious barbarism the free hand. Iranian protestors had a direct message for America's president: "You're Either With Us or With Them."
Obama's most consistent response to Iran (and North Korea's hostile moves) has been to ignore them and hope that proven evildoers will behave themselves. Wrong. The good cop is off the beat.
He failed, and the consequences of his failure have begun to be made manifest .....
Who has emerged as a leader for post-Mubarak Egypt? Iran's man, Mohammad ElBaradei. It is widely acknowledged that Dr ElBaradei repeatedly omitted evidence that the atomic agency had been given about Iran's covert weaponisation plan (more here).
If Obama had seized the moment in the Iranian freedom uprising, we would not be in this position now. Iran is casting a dark cloud over the free world. They are conducting a covert war against the West in Iraq and Afghanistan. Iran has aligned with Venezuela and Brazil, in an Islamic imperialistic advance into Latin America.
Whatever comes after Mubarak will be terrible. Make no mistake.
The disastrous handling of the Iranian hostage crisis by the worst President of the United States, Jimmy Carter, led to the rise of Islamic jihad across the world (that and the Soviet withdrawal from Afghanistan). If we still had an ally in Iran, what a wonderful and different world this would be.
The Islamic takeover in Iran also started out as a secular movement and democratic unrest. Then Khomeini flew in from France and it was game over. Fast forward to 2011.
MSNBC.com is reporting that “protestors had taken control of central areas of Suez and Alexandria.” Oil can go to $100 or $200 a barrel.
Turkey switching sides.
And the rest of the Muslim world has its finger on their itchy trigger. I hold little hope that freedom lovers in these countries have any shot against the devout Muslim movements when the leader of the free world has long abdicated.
He has a very different view of the world. This view is anti-platonic. And I say that, not to be condescending, but Plato said that the natural order of the world was chaos, it was war—peace was a parenthesis, it had to be achieved and worked at. I think in the Obama view that men like him that are charismatic, articulate, they can change the world because it's naturally a peaceful thing until people like George Bush rush in and through their stubbornness—"smoke 'em out dead or alive" vernacular—destroys it, but the fact of the matter is the only reason there is any semblance of peace and tranquility in the world today is because in places as diverse as the Aegean, planes over-flying in Greek airspace daily, where there's near fighting on Cypress, or whether we are talking about the Korean Sea and the Philippines and Taiwan and South Korean democracies not going nuclear because the United States is there, or whether Russian ships keep out of Norway every hour—all of that is predicated on the presence of the United States.
To be frank, or to put it a different way, Vladimir Putin doesn't give a damn that Barack Obama is African American. And the Chinese autocrats do not hear very well "hope" and "change"—it doesn't translate to Chinese very well—and the Europeans don't care if he has a nifty jump shot. All they want to know is half the world are vying to try to take advantage of regional opportunities if the United States is not there to stop mold, and to stop rust, which is the natural organic order of the world. They take advantage of it and our friends are there waiting to see which side to join. All of our friends in Europe know that, and Australia and South America. They don't have deities. Nations don't have deities like Barack Obama, they have interests. And their interests are predicated on who is going to win and who is going to lose. Into that void comes Barack Obama. (Victor Davis Hanson, 2008)
UPDATE: Iran Sees Rise of Islamic Hard-Liners in Arab Lands NY Times (hat tip Banafsheh)