Dr. Jack, Atlas's favorite pundit, enlightens us with the fireworks we can expect at the Democrat Convention. The birth certificate, the corruption eruptions, Rezko, Ayers, Wright, Farrakhan, denigrating America ... all of it Oblunder's chickens coming home to roost.
Excerpt from his half full report:
The Democrat presidential nominating convention is August 25-28. The number of delegate votes needed to win the nomination is 2118. According to the tabulations of Real Clear Politics, Egobama has 1766.5 elected or "pledged" delegates, while the PIAPS has 1639.5 (half-delegates because the Florida and Michigan delegations' votes were cut in half).
These are delegates the candidates won in the primaries and for whom they are legally bound to vote in the first ballot. Should no candidate win a majority of votes on the first ballot, these pledged delegates can vote for whomever they want.
What gives Egobama a winning majority of convention delegates is 463 "Superdelegates" who have promised to vote for him (as opposed to 257 for Clinton). These folks are Democrat Congressmen, Senators, "Distinguished Party Leaders," and other convention invitees.
Unlike pledged delegates, superdelegates can switch their promise to vote at any time, right up to the convention's first ballot. Which means if 112 of Egobama's 463 decide to vote for Clinton instead, she wins.There's more. Note an interesting discrepancy in the RCP superdelegate tally. A total of 823 will be voting at the convention, yet 463 (O's) and 257 (C's) add up to only 720.
Which means 103 superdelegates have yet to commit to either candidate. All of them must be getting phone calls from both candidates on the hour. But you can bet the Clintonistas are going after them hard-ball, enticing them with every carrot and threatening with every stick found in FBI files. Every one of the 103 they get after 51.5 (some have half-votes) is one less of the 112 they have to peel off from O's 463 to win.We all know how Egobama is tanking in the polls. It's the timing that's so beautiful - just before the Olympics, when everyone stops paying any attention to politics to watch sports instead. This, plus Egobama going off to vacation in Hawaii, locks in the poll momentum of McCain going up and O going down.
[...]
Then the day after the Olympics end on August 24, the Dem convention begins in Denver. It is going to be chaos, outside with protestors of every moonbat stripe, inside with delegates at each other's throats, and everything egged on by fanatically angry pro-Clinton women calling themselves Pumas (PUMA stands for Party Unity My Ass).No way this convention won't end ugly. O will come out of it seriously if not mortally weakened if he gets it, with millions of Puma-type women voting for McCain. If H "steals" it, millions of blacks will want to burn Denver to the ground and certainly won't vote for her.
Fasten you seat belts because if the big H steals it from the big O ...... the disenfranchised are going to go ballistic and McCain is going to have a real fight on his hands.
