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Friday, February 22, 2008

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daryl

Remember where and how WWI started?

It is almost unbelievable, but the European Union and the United States endorsing the unilateral Kosovo declaration of independence actually has even WORSE implications than merely creating another potentially Islamist state, and one in the heart of Europe at that.

Poking the Russian Bear in the eye is pretty stupid, especially when the gangsters in the Kremlin can cut off Europe's natural gas supply in mid winter, freeze everybody, and collapse industries and economies.

But this action has still worse implications.

The entire post-war International System is based on two foundations: treaty relations between sovereign nation-states, and the integrity and primacy of nation-states in international law.

Accepting Kosavar unilateralism threatens the latter foundation of the world order.

There are literally hundreds of ethnic groups in dozens of nations that could cite this episode as a precedent for their separatist and irredentist claims. Think Chicanos, Quebecois, Scotsmen, Welshmen, Maoris, and Native Americans.

The historic imperial states of the Old World, Russia, Iran, Turkey, China, India, Pakistan, and most of sub-Saharan Africa, could join the Balkans in the flames of wars of independence fanned by resurrected tribal aspirations.

As we can see in Waziristan, not everybody wants to have the consumer comforts of modern life, especially if it means giving up on illiteracy, hunger, poverty, female bondage, infant mortality, vendetta, gun running, and drug smuggling.

A major feature of the historical surge of Modernity was modern states suppressing and subjugating ancient tribalities and setting up rational legal order and effective civil institutions. As Modernity commits suicide and fades out as the driving force for Progress in the world, we can expect the Timeless Chaos, Darkness, and Stagnation of tribal primitivism to reemerge.

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