The gang''s all here! LIVE FROM HARTFORD at the Lieberman Campaign Party. Woot! Evan of Brain Terminal, Atlas, Andrew from Pajama Media nd Sol from Solomonia. We will be kicking ass and taking names. Look for my LIVE VLOGS at Pajamas here.
Here the Dinosaur media hobbling together the old technology.......
The accommodations - how funny are these guys? Gentlemen all.
ELECTION UPDATE: We are working - Sol over at Solomonia has it up here;
Of the precincts that the RNC is monitoring turnout, we have a ½% turnout advantage over the 2004 turnout (GOP precincts are turning out at 32.9% of 2004 vote while DEM precincts are turning out at 32.5% of 2004 vote)
Many states like Colorado, Nevada, Arizona have 25% of votes cast before election day.
There were 60K more ballots submitted by Republicans before Election Day – and 41% of the state has already voted.
In 2004 Exit Polling was off by 3.5% (they had it at 7%, actual results was 10.5%)
In the precincts that the RNC is tracking turnout, GOP precincts are turning out at 8% higher rate (42% to 34%) from the 2004 vote.
Republicans have a 140K advantage though absentee and early voting before Election Day – and 36% of the state has already voted. Exit polling got it wrong in 2000 and wrong in 2004 (4% off in 2004)
Republican absentees had pulled within even of Democrats before Election Day – in a state with a 2:1 dem registration advantage. Of the precincts we are tracking, Republican precincts are turning out 3% higher than Dem precincts off 2004 turnout (51-43).
Of the precincts we are tracking, Republican precincts are turning out 2.6% higher than Dem precincts (42.3% to 39.7%) based off of the 2004 vote. 2004 exit polls had a 3% dem bias.
In 2004, exit polling was off by almost 9% (they had Kerry winning by almost 7%, we won by 2%)
(not much to say here…turnout looks against us, no exit polling from ’04 and absentee data is from MT data) In precinct turnout tracking, dem precincts are turning out 1% higher off 2004 vote. We estimate a 1% advantage on the absentee voting.
In 2004, exit polling had the presidential within 1%, yet President Bush won by over 8%. Of the precincts we are tracking, GOP precincts are turning out at 48% of 2004’s turnout while Dem precincts are only at 41%.
UPDATE 8:43 pm: Here at Leiberman Campaign Party -mood is "cautiously optimistic"
Oberlin said "we'd rather be our shoes, than Ned Lamont'