Wild rhetoric. Accelerated nuclear activity.
Iran has certainly ratcheted up the stakes. Let's evaluate. Iran is a regional superpower. Like superpowers in the past, they project power, they project power through a nuclear umbrella and through terrorist networks they have already laid whether that be in Iraq or Afghanistan or Lebanon or among the Palestinians.
The critical days are right now,
because what they announced to the IAEA a few days ago, removing the seals, re-operating the enrichment facilities and that they'll be running cascades ( the only thing they don't know how to do yet to operate a bomb - running cascades) - these groupings of centrifuges so that they can enrich enough material to produce bombs.They are now focused on the last part that they don't know how to do. And we are facing it right now.
So we are seeing a lot of positive momentum......if all this activity (in Europe, the IAEA, security council referral, sanctions) is successful, that's great, if not it is another message to Iran that they can keep sticking their finger in the eyeball of the world. This is not just America's problem. This is everyone's problem.
The next few weeks will be the time that tries men's souls. Our goal must be to get the international com unity to deal with this NOW.
Iran is not omnipotent.It's a minority regime, they are vulnerable. They are highly dependent on the world for trade, for legitimacy, for popularity at home. Their economy is a basket case as it is. If you start shutting down their ability to import, they don't even have refining capabilities so nothing can run in Iran without imported oil from Europe so there's enough leverage to make them stop. Most of their imports are from the West are industrial goods. They need those imports to operate their factories. They already have very high unemployment. What would happen if somebody got up and said NO MORE FACTORY PIECES, NO MORE MACHINERY FOR YOU? Think of the implications of that would have inside Iran.
They are not all powerful, they are highly vulnerable. They make it appear that they are all powerful........and everyone believes them, but they are an empty shell.
If we stop their soccer team from running around Europe (yes, really - I too had no idea how enormously important this is to the Iranians until I really started looking at that as a meaningful sanction) ), shutting down their diplomatic offices in Europe, if they are taken to the security council this is the way to make them stop. The were stopped before when they were faced with censure, with a challenge from the world. But they continue when they feel they can call our bluff.
They may be Radical Islamists but they understand power.